338Canada: Federal and Provincial Election Projections

Popular Vote Projection

Welcome to 338Canada, a statistical model of electoral outcomes in Canada. Our projections provide insights into the latest election news and trends.

Recent Polls and Projections

Below you will find the latest popular vote projections from 338Canada and other reputable firms:

• 338Canada: 42% Liberal, 33% Conservative, 18% NDP, 8% Bloc Québécois, 4% Green
• Abacus Data: 44% Liberal, 32% Conservative, 16% NDP, 6% Bloc Québécois, 3% Green
• Nanos Research: 43% Liberal, 31% Conservative, 17% NDP, 7% Bloc Québécois, 3% Green

These projections are based on a combination of polling data, historical trends, and expert analysis. It is important to note that projections are not predictions, and actual results may vary.

Upcoming Elections

The next federal election in Canada is scheduled for 2025. Provincial elections are also scheduled to be held in Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward Island in 2023. Stay tuned to 338Canada for the latest projections and analysis as these elections approach.